【LMAX】每日外汇市场评论 07.09.2016

发布于:2016-09-07发布者:万海投资


·EUR: A quiet session just for a change through the Asian market with and early dip on EURJPY selling to the 1.1230’s before recovering to test to the opening levels in the mid 1.1250’s and holding above the level through into the London session, Topside offers from the 1.1280 levels dominate the market through to around the 1.1320 areas before the likelihood of stops appear however, even through this level there is likely to be congestive offers extending through to the 1.1360 areas before we approach stronger offers still into the 1.1400 level, downside bids light back through the 1.1200 areas with weak stops likely to appear on a break of the 1.1180 areas with stronger bids likely to start appearing through the 1.1160 areas and likely to increase to the 1.1140 level, for the moment German IP stands out for the day.


·欧元:亚洲时段欧元走淡,受欧日卖盘影响下探1.1230后反弹开盘价1.1250中位,持稳该价位上方直到伦敦开盘。上行方向1.1280至1.1320区间有卖单,上破可触发止损,上方至1.1360卖单密集,1.1400卖单更强。下行方向至1.1200有少量买单,下破1.1180可触发弱止损,1.1160买单强劲,下方至1.1140买单增加,今日需关注德国工业产值。


·GBP: Cable drifted throughout the session unable to capitalize on the move above the 1.3400 levels not seen since June, opening around the 1.3440 levels the market has gradually eased back to trade along the 1.3410 level into the move to London with little impetus and expectant of IP and MP numbers expected today both of which show expectations of a weaker number for the monthly figures through the summer months Topside offers through the 1.3450 levels are likely to quickly give way to stops and the market then likely to be lightly offered around the 1.3500 levels with only slightly stronger offers on any approach of the 1.3600 area. Downside bids light through the 1.3400 levels with possibly stronger bids around the 1.3350 levels and congestive bids through to 1.3300 a push through this level will likely see weak stops coming into play and a deeper move possible to a stronger 1.3200 area.


·英镑:英镑下探但未下破1.3400,开报1.3440后缓慢下探1.3410,伦敦盘前动力较弱,市场预期工业产值和制造业产值均疲弱。上行方向上破1.3450可触发止损,1.3500阻力较弱,1.3600区间阻力增强。下行方向1.3400有少量买单,1.3350买单更强,下破1.3300可触发弱止损并看向1.3200强支撑位。


·JPY: The USDJPY held the 102.00 areas through to the Tokyo opening then dropped quickly differences appearing in the BoJ members on what is required to reach the governments targets, this set the JPY higher as the certainty of easing slowly disappears as it has so many times before and the USDJPY dropped quickly back into the 101.30 areas, test through the level eventually to 101.20 but never really recovering and holding through to the London session around the 101.40. Topside offers light through to the 102.20 areas however, possibility of weak stops on a push through the level and this could cause a small squeeze higher however, with just the beige book for the US this may be a stretch, Downside bids through the current levels with more congestion and stronger bids likely to appear on a push through the figure and these bids are likely to strengthen in size on any dips below the 100.50 areas and onwards.


·日元:美日持稳102.00区间,东京开盘后下探,日央行成员评论如何实现政府目标,日元受宽松确定性下降影响上探,美元迅速跌至101.30区间,测试101.20后持稳101.40直到伦敦开盘。上行方向至102.20区间有少量卖单,上破可触发弱止损和小规模逼仓走高,但今日重要消息只有美国白皮书,恐怕难以继续向上。下行方向当前价位有买单,下破可下探更强支持,100.50为强支撑位。


·AUD: The Oz again dominated by cross plays more than anything else with the Oz attempting to push through the 0.7690 areas early in Tokyo as the USDJPY dropped back however, once the Oz failed the level the JPY buying was sufficient to set the lows in the Oz around the 0.7655 area and then drifting a little higher for the push into London holding above the 0.7670 areas. Offers into the 77 cent level are likely to extend through to the 0.7750-60 areas before any weaknesses appears, a push here is likely to see stops appearing on the move through the level and the market quickly pushing to the 78 cent levels however, this will open a challenge of the years highs and the possibility of further buying moving in. Downside bids light through to the 0.7550 areas with that strength likely to continue through to the 0.7480 areas before the market contemplates a short term reversal and an opening to the 74 cent level.


·澳元:澳元再受交叉盘主导,东京早段在美日回落时突破0.7690,日元触发充分买盘令澳元下探0.7655区间创低位,伦敦盘前站上0.7670。上行方向0.77有卖单,预期持续至0.7750-60区间,上破可触发止损并看向0.78,上破可触发新一轮买单入场。下行方向至0.7550区间有少量买单,持续至0.7480区间,下破可下探0.74。


英文网址链接:https://www.lmax.com/blog/fx-market-commentary/2016/09/07/daily-fx-market-commentary-755/


收缩
  • 电话咨询

  • 400-9900-175