· A steady climb from the opening pushing to above the 1.1170 levels on quiet trading, topside offers light through the 1.1200 areas with some resistance to the upside likely to be encountered around the 1.1220 areas through to the 1.1250 where the market is likely to be stronger a push through the levels though is likely to see further offers continuing in slightly weaker amounts until the market pushes through to the 1.1280-1.1300 areas and again stronger resistance and congestion from then on to the 1.1380 highs from last month, downside bids into the 1.1120 levels and likely to continue to the 1.1080 area where stops are a possibility through to the 1.1060-40 with congestion continuing from there onwards.
A quiet rise through to the 1.3040 areas with weak offers through the level and possible weak stops through the level, movement to the 1.3100 is likely to be open with light offers through to the 1.3200 areas in patches but then becoming stronger as the market moves through the level, downside bids into the 1.3000 are likely to be strong and with limited downside stops with congestion likely to appear through the level into the 1.2950 levels and the market continuing in the same fashion through to the July lows, however, with limited data for the day and FOMC on Wednesday likely to dominate the market until that point its difficult to see that much movement.
Limited trading through the session saw the market opening a little weaker before heading steadily to the highs around the 102.40 areas, once the early part of the session had finished its run the market drifted through to test through the opening 102.20 areas to test the 102.00 levels in a quiet session, offers to the Topside are limited with some light resistance through the 102.50 areas, and again through the 103.00 level, stronger offers then start to appear on a push through the 103 level and into the 103.50-104.00 areas with day traders likely to appear with the stronger offers. Downside bids into the 101.50 levels and likely to continue to the 101.20 levels and then becoming stronger on any attempt through the 101 levels before running into lows from last month forming stronger support into and through 100.
With Oz inflation targets achievable the market took heed after opening on the low side and initially testing the 0.7480 levels, the move into the Tokyo session saw the market slowly rise back to the 75 cent levels and then a continual climb through the session to test through the offers around the 0.7540 levels and into the near congestive areas, a push through the 0.7560 areas is likely to see weak stops making an appearance and offers sufficient to soak them up and hold through the 76 level, downside bids light through to the 0.7660-40 areas with possibility of stronger bids the lower you go with see light stops on a push through the level an the 74 cent vulnerable with stops likely on a push through the bids.
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